health

Why Coronavirus numbers are likely to get worse

That’s much lower than the 67% who said so during a Gallup poll in late March and early April.

what is the point: The Coronavirus outbreak She got lost in the news shuffle over the past month because of the election. But just because the media does not cover the epidemic at the same level, that does not mean that it is over.

In fact, we have been looking at some of the worst coronavirus numbers for a long time, and unlike earlier this year, it is not at all clear that there is a general will to do what is necessary to slow the rate of infection.

A quick glance at the numbers tells the story. Currently, the virus is spreading in almost every state. As of this writing, prof CNN analysis of Johns Hopkins University data Indicates that the number of coronavirus cases increased in every state compared to last week, with the exception of Georgia. to me The New York Times Examining the data shows that in more than 90% of states, there have been a daily average of at least 15 new cases per 100,000 people over the past week.
Terribly, There are more cases of novel coronavirus infection daily From any time to the epidemic.
Even in states that were promoted as success stories have seen a decline. Take New York State, which has one of the Most of the test programs are extensive in the country. On September 10.8% of all tests came back positive on an average daily, 7-day, and 14-day average. This week, the daily rate exceeded 3% in at least one day, while the average of 7 days and 14 days exceeded 2%. This is a huge increase.

This high positive rate came even with a higher number of tests compared to two months ago, which would reduce the positivity rate if the number of cases remained constant.

In fact, cases and testing are not only at the national level. The number of deaths and hospitalizations has risen to more than 33%, according to the Times

We are, to put it mildly, in a world full of troubles.

However, nowhere does the American public or voters seem to have the same eagerness that we did in April to do what could be done to keep the virus away.

Not only are fewer than the majority of Americans unwilling to say that they are “very likely” to take shelter in their place. They are not currently isolated. A clear majority (62%) said they were partially isolated or not isolated at all in a Gallup poll in late October. It was half that (30%) in April.

in a Axios / Ipsos poll Conducted in late October, 53% admitted that they did not always keep at least 6 feet away from other people when out of their homes. This was one of the highest numbers of the epidemic. Back in April, the percentage of those who said they did not stay at least 6 feet did not rise above 34%.

While 46% of Americans said they have not started making vacation plans yet, those who are evenly divided between planning the celebration between their immediate families and the people they live with (30%) and with those outside this select group (24%).

In other words, there appears to be a real chance that the holidays turn into an opportunity for the Coronavirus to spread easily because people will meet in close quarters with people they do not live with. (Public health officials We say that these are small gatherings How much transmission occurs.)

Perhaps most disturbing is that these survey numbers come against a backdrop that Americans seem to realize that the country is on the wrong track in how we deal with the virus.

Most (61%) told Gallup that the coronavirus situation is getting worse. Only 23% think it is improving, which is one of the low percentages of the epidemic so far.

Although Americans know we are on the wrong track, it has not yet caused the kind of change in habit that might be necessary to overcome the recent wave of cases.

Unless Americans change their tone quickly, things could go wrong a lot regarding the virus.

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